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As California’s wildfires attest, climate change is here, and its effects are being felt now. What President Joe Biden calls a “code red” moment should cause deep reflection on how all of us can prepare for a hotter world.
California students, like their peers around the country, see this danger clearly and have led an incredible and admirable outpouring of activism to prevent the most terrible impacts of climate change. Their voices — and ours — are critical to ensuring humans can continue to thrive on this planet. As we work for the best outcome, however, we must prepare for all outcomes, including the worst. The social disruptions predicted by climate scientists are coming into nearly every aspect of our daily lives, including how students learn.
Climate change introduces several new social forces with the potential for dramatic impacts on the times, places and modes of schooling. Consider the impact of human migration. Whether in the short term as families escape natural disasters like hurricanes and floods, or in the long term as weather impacts where we can sustainably live, farm, and work, the children of climate change will be more likely to move around the country during their 13 years of primary and secondary schooling. Within the United States alone, 13.1 million people could be forced to migrate by 2100 due to climate change — equivalent to the size of the Great Migration of the early 20th century.
When a student changes schools, they’re forced to adapt to a new social environment, new curriculum and new set of expectations, often without the historical assessment data their previous teachers could draw upon. Climate migrants will likely move to communities already struggling to build housing, transportation and schooling infrastructure to support rapidly expanding populations. This combination of social disruptions, learning disruptions and trauma can impact psychological well-being and academic performance for students for years afterward by, for example, disconnecting students from their friends, putting them in environments that make it more difficult to study or increasing the pressure on secondary students to drop out of school to support their families financially.
A warming climate will affect school facilities in other ways that demand capital investment. A 2017 investigation by The 74 showed 11 of the nation’s 50 largest school districts had a significant number of classrooms without air conditioning. In the most recent statistics collected by the U.S. Department of Education, 30% of schools had air conditioning or ventilation systems rated as being in fair or poor condition. More time spent in hot schools reduces assessment scores and can even lower on-time high school graduation, according to one study.
Fortunately, the lessons schools around the country have learned from the pandemic can be applied to support learning in the middle of dramatic social change.
Crisis can often create opportunity. The extraordinary pressures put on school systems during the pandemic led to new innovations in remote and hybrid instruction. As climate change places similar pressure on school systems, their success will be determined ultimately by a willingness to learn from that experience and find creative ways to understand and maximize student learning.
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Chase Nordengren is a senior research scientist at NWEA, a not-for-profit organization that creates assessment solutions that precisely measure growth and proficiency—and provide insights to help tailor instruction.
The opinions in this commentary are those of the author. If you would like to submit a commentary, please review our guidelines and contact us.
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Comments (5)
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Susan W. Morrison 2 years ago2 years ago
Tom: Stocking supplies in a classroom in event of a natural disaster is unrealistic because the parents will come for their kids ASAP. Schools already prepare through duck and cover plus evacuation drills. And it works. In my 35 plus years in mostly grade 4-6 classrooms, there were a number of such emergencies, and the drills helped a lot. Everyone knew what to do and did it.
Teacher 3 years ago3 years ago
Tom, don’t you believe in science? If Fauci can predict in 2017 a “surprise outbreak” of a new disease during the Trump Administration, don’t you think climate scientists can predict future natural disasters?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Kh3twYon8pc
In fact, my school district just had us add a new app to our phone in case of emergency disasters during school hours. Not a bad idea, considering school shootings etc.
Replies
tom 2 years ago2 years ago
LOL, that first sentence captures the problem with "science." No scientist believes science is that certain. An app for emergencies is a good idea for things such as a school shooter. Pretty tough to keep current in an emergency though. Hope your classrooms are stocked with emergency supplies should a shelter in place be necessary. For sure food and water for several hours. A large earthquake could be far … Read More
LOL, that first sentence captures the problem with “science.” No scientist believes science is that certain.
An app for emergencies is a good idea for things such as a school shooter. Pretty tough to keep current in an emergency though. Hope your classrooms are stocked with emergency supplies should a shelter in place be necessary. For sure food and water for several hours. A large earthquake could be far worse and a few days of supplies should be stored and kept updated annually. Plan for the worst weather conditions, hope for the best. Cell phones likely to be unusable in such an event, btw. Be ready for the same at your house.
Tom 3 years ago3 years ago
I'm an earth scientist, have experience in numerical modeling of earth systems, and know firsthand how difficult it is the predict the future. Models can't even reliably predict weather in the next month much less many years from now. Your statements about catastrophic climate change are irresponsible and result in just more anxiety for kids and their parents. We are already scaring the heck out of kids the way Covid is being presented. … Read More
I’m an earth scientist, have experience in numerical modeling of earth systems, and know firsthand how difficult it is the predict the future. Models can’t even reliably predict weather in the next month much less many years from now. Your statements about catastrophic climate change are irresponsible and result in just more anxiety for kids and their parents.
We are already scaring the heck out of kids the way Covid is being presented. Enough is enough, please reconsider how you write about such things. That’s all I ask.
Fred katz 3 years ago3 years ago
Scare tactics to further a speculative agenda.